I just can't agree. Deductive proofs are based on premises that may be true or false. We may make a false assumption about reality and construct a valid deductive proof that leads to a conclusion.
True. If a deductive argument has true premises and is valid then the conclusion isn't just probably true, the conclusion is absolutely certainly true.
The point I make is not that deductive arguments cannot be false or invalid. On the contrary, they can be. The point I make is that a deductive argument is the only kind of argument that can possibly lead to absolute truth. Inductive argument can only lead to probable truth.
I pointed this out in regard to Ragnar's claim that "The force of gravity has never been observed to change, no matter what planetary body or star is being observed."
This is all well and good, but it doesn't mean that the force of gravity will not be observed to change tomorrow and it cannot mean that.
Any argument that contains a premise on which the conclusion rests which has to do with experience is always and forever only probably true. Only deductive arguments can lead to absolute truth. (This, again, is not the same thing as saying that EVERY deductive argument leads to absolute truth.) Therefore, when Ragnar argues that simply because we've never observed gravity to be any different than what we observe it to be today, it will never be different, his conclusion oversteps the bounds of the evidence provided.
We cannot say that gravity will never be different than it is today. We can say only that it is unlikely to be different.