"Given that our universe does appear to follow so many laws without exception, the ability to violate these laws would necessarily be rare."
No, I don't think you're understanding me, here. I once met an atheist that argued that the resurrection could be discounted because the odds were that after 10 billion humans, it would make sense that one of them would resurrect (this followed a discourse on the odds against unguided abiogenesis... I guess I 'won' that argument). That is not what I'm arguing here.
My point is rather is that if there were constant 'violations' of the laws of nature you would be hard pressed to classify anything as a law of nature in the first place. It is only because you have a consistent pattern that you could detect and attribute significance to an exception.
This is what I mean by 'rare.' From an epistemological point of view, your only hope of having a reliable revelation from the entity described in the hypothesis is to have a 'background' against which to recognize the revelation.
This does not mean, as cutup somehow gathered, that 'rarity implies divinity.' Rather, a consistent pattern is a pre-requisite for a revelation to be reliably detected. The 'rarity' comes into play in the sense that if the message occurs too often there is a proportional drop in our knowledge of the pattern.
A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A There is a Message Here A A A A A A A A A A A A A A
a T U b q s T u p y R T A I R V S A M P P P E S Q C Q E B P D s H R E S H I R E b t H E r E 5 2 I s h 2 A 6 M 3 s S a 8 E b 9 H E r E R B n s p P G E
Is there a message in the first line? What about the second? It is much easier to see the message in the first one because it stands out against the pattern. Is the second one random gibberish?
"Yes, absolutely, they do. That's inherent in the very meaning of the word prediction. It's the whole point. If an idea is right, it should hold in situations we have not yet observed."
And have you yet observed the historical data?
"You may give me grief over my understanding of Christianity, but your understanding of science and cognitive errors that make the method necessary is at least as bad."
Your error is that you invoke the SCIENTIFIC METHOD. I specifically suggested that you were not being reasonable to constrain us to that lingo. You don't think historians make hypotheses?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HypothesisYes, and another quote:
"In common usage in the 21st century, a hypothesis refers to a provisional idea whose merit needs evaluation."
And I am completely within this use of the term. Are you seriously going to quibble about this rather than proceed to substance?
"There is little, if any, prediction in the historical method."
I wouldn't be so sure about that. Perhaps instead of invoking the Scientific method on me you should have invoked the HM, eh?

"The historical method primarily looks at source reliability, etc. It also relies on the scientific method to inform us of what is possible. Given that the historical consensus of documents about Jesus is that NONE of them are primary sources, there is no good reason to think anything in the gospels or apocrypha is records any violations of natural laws. If I were to grant secondary sources so much authority about what happened, I would have to believe so many miracles that I would believe contradictory things."
Wow, look at you go. Why don't you just slow the train down just a bit. Let's find out just how good your knowledge of the historical basis of Christianity really is. But at least recognize that the HM, by virtue of it being a study of the past, is never going to be able to offer 'predictions' as in the sense for many scientific inquiries, but that doesn't mean that we can't use the word nor test our hypotheses, or, according to your own wiki source:
"In common usage in the 21st century, a hypothesis refers to a provisional idea whose merit needs evaluation."
I offered you a provisional idea and we are evaluating the merit of it.
And I'm watching you closely about your notions about the SM telling us what is possible. If it is true that you cannot even hope to detect an intervention unless it is highlighted against a pattern of regular laws, then there are some limits on what we can say is really possible according to the SM. The very think you are invoking as though it might disprove the hypothesis is in fact the one thing you need in order to 'prove' it.
""and if you want to call it something else, do so, but I trust that checking the hypothesis against the facts and finding them corroborated is a significant boost to the hypothesis whatever you want to call it. Don't you think?""
"No, it just makes the hypotheses not yet wrong."
Now you're just playing hard to get. Which hypothesis do you think is stronger? The one corroborated at no points, the one at one point, or the one at a thousand points? Be honest.